College football week 13 Saturday Selections

It’s the last full week of college football, which means a lot of rivalry games being played.  Taking the points is usually a good thing in rivalry games, as they are normally hard fought battles.  I’m in a hard fought battle this week, as I already find myself 0-2 on the week after Friday games.  While there is a full slate of great games on tomorrow, there isn’t much value available in terms of gambling.  I only found 4 games that I like for tomorrow.

Cincinnati at East Carolina (-1.5):

Cincinnati struggles on the road, and struggle to stop opponents on defense.  They are allowing 491 yards per game on the road.  In their road games so far this year, they beat Miami Oh by 4, you know the Miami Oh team I’ve gone against a lot this year, successfully.  They lost to Memphis by 7, BYU by 14, Houston by 3 and then last week they lost to South Florida by 38.  They do a better job of slowing down the pass game, but let teams run all over them.  East Carolina needs this game to become bowl eligible, and I expect them to give a max effort.  That effort along with Cincy struggles on the road leads me to go with the home team.

North Carolina (-4) at NC State:

North Carolina damn near gave away the game to Virginia Tech last week.  I mean they tried really really hard to, but ended up squeaking out a 3 point win in overtime.  North Carolina has it’s own playoff hopes, as they only have 1 loss on the season, and have the ACC championship game next week.  If they want those playoff hopes to come to fruition then they need to win this game, as well as upset Clemson next week.  They certainly have the offensive fire power to do so, with a top 20 rated team in the nation.  They do struggle to stop the run on defense, but have a very good pass defense.  They are also playing for revenge as NC State kicked their ass last year.  Look for UNC to take this one big.

Kansas State (-20) at Kansas:

Ah Kansas, the shitty team that couldn’t.  They are a bottom 10 team in the nation, and they are only averaging 300 yards per game in conference play.  Their defense on the other hand is allowing 594 yards per game in conference play.  That’s nearly a 300 yard difference.  Kansas State needs to win this game, and next week against West Virginia to extend their season.  Kansas is 0-11 on the season, and are just trying to find some semblance of pride, but they won’t find it here.  With Snyder as the head coach of Kansas State they have won this game 16 of the past 17 times straight up and against the spread.  That’s nothing to sniff at.  Look for them to make that 17 of 18 this week.

Air Force (-10) at New Mexico:

You know what Air Force does?  They run the ball (#3 in the nation) and they play defense.  That’s my recipe for success when it comes to football.  They have the #12 rated defense in the nation and are allowing under 350 yards in total defense.  New Mexico is also an option team, and that helps Air Force as they are ready to stop it.  However, New Mexico has a hard time stopping opponents on defense.  They are rated #98 overall and are giving up 195 rushing yards and 270 passing yards in conference play this season.  With Air Force averaging nearly 400 rushing yards per game, and New Mexico not able to stop the rush, I’m calling for Air Force to run all over the Lobo’s.

Good luck this week.  Next week will be slightly different as we have a few season finale’s for some conferences and conference championship games, so not a lot of games.  Check back later for NFL picks, and of course I have my daily college basketball selections.