Well after Thursday night, I’m ready for the
weekend, how about you. That Auburn at
Kentucky game was fantastic. It’s too
bad that Kentucky couldn’t pull it out, really would’ve loved to see them win
the game, or at least cover for me. If
you were able to get in at 2.5 and buy up to to 3 then you were lucky. I wasn’t as lucky. It really hurt that Kentucky was intercepted
at the beginning of the game when they were driving and on Auburn’s 8 yard
line, but they kept it close just like I thought they would and had a chance to
win at the end. Stanford rolled over
UCLA just like I said, splitting the night for me and starting the week 2-1
after winning on Tuesday night. Time to
get on to the Saturday games, here are my picks for this weekend.
Nevada (-6.5) at Wyoming:
First things first, Wyoming is bad, like bottom 10 of
college football bad. They have both
played New Mexico at home, and we were backers of New Mexico in that Wyoming
game. Anyways, Wyoming lost by 10 at
home to New Mexico while Nevada beat them by 18. We were also backers of Eastern Michigan when
they traveled to Wyoming back in week 2, so going against this team is nothing
new to me. If this was a neutral site,
Nevada would be closer to a 11 or 12 point spread. Wyoming doesn’t get anywhere near as many
points for home field that would bring it down to under a touchdown. Just take Nevada and thank me later.
Nebraska at Minnesota (-2):
On a neutral site, this would be flipped, and Nebraska would
be favored by at least 3 points, so even after adjusting for home field, this
should be closer to pick em, than Minnesota laying points. Nebraska is definitely the better team. They lost on a hail mary to start the season,
almost came from behind after being down 3 scores 2 weeks later against Miami
FL, lost on a last minute touchdown at Illinois, and then lost another squeaker
last week home against Wisconsin. This
team is literally 5 game minutes away from being 6-0 instead of 4-2. Minnesota hasn’t lived up to preaseason expectations
so far this year. Sure they held TCU to
only 23 points to start the season, but they followed that up with a field goal
win the next 3 weeks before being shut out at Northwestern and then blowing out
Purdue. Don’t read to much into that
Purdue game though as they benefited from winning the turnover battle by
3. Nebraska does a better job of
protecting the football, and are fully on Mike Riley’s page now. Look for Nebraska to pull the upset.
Akron at Bowling Green (-11.5):
This game will boil down to how well Akron’s defense holds
up against the Bowling Green passing game.
Bowling Green’s is averaging 435 passing yards per game, but Akron is
only allowing 225. That will be the
match up that determines the game.
Bowling Green hasn’t been able to slow down any team on defense and is
allowing just shy of 500 yards per game.
Akron’s offense has really heated up the last few weeks, so I’m not
expecting much of a yardage advantage for Bowling Green in this one. If that is the case, then there is no reason
to not take 11.5 points. Look for this
one to stay close, and probably within 1 score.
I’m going with Akron in this one.
San Diego State at San Jose State (-2.5):
Okay, so you know the deal, buy this up to 3 and take the
underdog. San Jose State is not that
much better than San Diego State. These
2 teams are rated very closely to each other, and are not separated by 3
points. This game comes down to running
the football and being able to stop the run.
In this case San Diego State has a 2 headed monster at running back and
are averaging 180 rushing yards per game.
Two weeks ago they rushed for 305 yards vs Fresno State and last week
they ran for 218. San Jose State allows
228 rushing yards a game, so look for San Diego State to be able to pound the
ball down SJST throats and control the clock and the game. On the other side, San Diego State does a
very good job in shutting down the run, holding opponent to 104 rushing yards per
game. That doesn’t bode well for San
Jose State who relies on the run to move the ball, as they typically call more
rushing plays than passing plays per game.
I think this will come down to the wire, and I do believe that San Diego
State can/will win.
That’s 4 games for Saturday, and 7 games on the week. Good Luck.
Check back for NFL picks soon.
No comments:
Post a Comment