College Football week 1 Friday Selection

Welcome back for part 2 of college football week 1.  For this post I dug through the games being played on Friday, and I’ve uncovered a gem.  Before I get into that game though a brief explanation on the strategy deployed early in the season.

Starting with my first post of the season outlining Thursdays value plays, I talked a lot about experience and returning starters.  That’s important at the start of the season because we don’t have any stats to judge a team on yet.  Experience is very important in college football, as these are still young men adjusting to life in college, especially freshmen.  As the season goes on and more stats are compiled, you get a better feel for who the team is and what they are capable of doing.  Plus, lets face it, at the end of the season there is no such thing as young/inexperienced, so I will focus more on stats than personnel.  Now on to Fridays gem.

Charlotte at Georgia St -7.5:

Let’s be honest, these are quite possibly the 2 worst teams at the FBS level.  Georgia State is in their 3^rd year at this level and have only won 1 game.  Charlotte is new to FBS, and is actually only in it’s 3^rd year of existence.  However, Charlotte does have 17 returning starters, and that is a huge benefit when playing on the road.  Georgia State is also returning 17 starters.  My power ratings actually have Charlotte rated slightly better than Georgia State, and even giving GSU 2 points for home field that at worst puts Charlotte as a 2 point dog.  Looking at the past couple of years Charlotte has won and Georgia State has not, in fact their only win in the past 2 years is against an FCS foe.  The bottom line is there is no way a full touchdown separates these 2 teams.  I’m not sure that Charlotte can pull off the upset, but they will keep this a close game.

Thanks for stopping by.  Good luck if you choose to use this information for anything.  If you like what I’m doing, tell you friends.  If you don’t like what I have to say, tell your enemy, I don’t care just tell someone.  Check back later for the weekend picks.